Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.065890 0.072877 0.080522 0.089550 0.099969 0.111680 0.125926
2024-10-20 0.055118 0.064554 0.075712 0.090042 0.108201 0.130782 0.161532
2024-10-27 0.047331 0.057868 0.071088 0.089240 0.114083 0.147787 0.198631
2024-11-03 0.042451 0.053763 0.068671 0.090343 0.122098 0.168775 0.246499
2024-11-10 0.038720 0.050488 0.066652 0.091333 0.129748 0.190519 0.301770
2024-11-17 0.035378 0.047242 0.064103 0.090938 0.134944 0.209278 0.357911
2024-11-24 0.033018 0.045062 0.062725 0.091952 0.142351 0.233199 0.432171
2024-12-01 0.031046 0.043201 0.061539 0.092985 0.149819 0.258880 0.520608
2024-12-08 0.029300 0.041483 0.060337 0.093739 0.156810 0.285308 0.623144
2024-12-15 0.027609 0.039681 0.058781 0.093609 0.162022 0.309347 0.732288
2024-12-22 0.025923 0.037734 0.056779 0.092381 0.164782 0.328647 0.839312
2024-12-29 0.024967 0.036873 0.056493 0.094247 0.174232 0.366505 1.031127
2025-01-05 0.023481 0.035053 0.054433 0.092545 0.175864 0.385838 1.175851
2025-01-12 0.022534 0.034063 0.053741 0.093449 0.183593 0.424371 1.434590
2025-01-19 0.021444 0.032750 0.052352 0.092769 0.187502 0.453640 1.686657
2025-01-26 0.020712 0.031999 0.051915 0.094000 0.196357 0.501636 2.101818
2025-02-02 0.020018 0.031263 0.051437 0.095074 0.205070 0.553215 2.630941
2025-02-09 0.019200 0.030251 0.050348 0.094669 0.209797 0.593301 3.168742
2025-02-16 0.018617 0.029621 0.049941 0.095744 0.218890 0.654500 4.043086
2025-02-23 0.018075 0.029032 0.049564 0.096836 0.228331 0.722690 5.233241
2025-03-02 0.017540 0.028419 0.049086 0.097633 0.237129 0.793839 6.802447
2025-03-09 0.016948 0.027665 0.048265 0.097496 0.243036 0.855833 8.632591
2025-03-16 0.016286 0.026743 0.047032 0.096201 0.244964 0.899923 10.500785